Preview No. 12: Michigan
Right: Are Michigan fans pinning their hopes for a winning season on a true freshman quarterback? (AP Photo)
The last (and certainly the least) of the 12 previews on all 12 of Ohio State’s 2009 opponents:
Michigan head coach Rich Rodriguez enters his second year at the helm of the Wolverines, and after going 3-9 in 2008, I’m sure it’s one season he would like to forget.
Before Rodriguez’ arrival to Ann Arbor, Michigan had winning seasons for 40-straight years and went received 33-straight postseason bowl invites. That all changed last year.
After losing in the 2008 season-opener to Utah at home, Michigan squeaked by Miami-Ohio to even their record at 1-1. A week later, the Wolverines’ were drubbed by Notre Dame during their trip to Sound Bend, and on the following Saturday, the lone bright spot during last season came when Michigan scored 19 unanswered points in the second half to defeat Wisconsin, 27-25.
At 2-2, things were not looking so bad for Rodriguez and his Wolverines. Unfortunately, Michigan closed out the season losing seven out of their last eight games which included the embarrassing 13-10 loss to Mid-American Conference member Toledo at home.
To compound the problems in Ann Arbor, the Wolverines’ top passer, Steven Threet, transferred after the season to Arizona State, and the Wolverines’ second-leading rusher, Sam McGuffie, decided to leave Michigan and play closer to home at Rice.
Michigan’s most experienced quarterback is junior Nick Sheridan (6-1, 218), who threw for 613 yards with two touchdown passes and five interceptions in eight games last season.
Sheridan, though, broke his leg during spring ball, allowing true freshman Tate Forcier (6-1, 188) to get most the reps in practice. Another true freshman, Denard Robinson (6-0, 185), is also battling for the starting quarterback job, but the odds-on favorite is Forcier, who was a four-start recruit by Rivals.com and was ranked the fifth-best dual-threat quarterback in the nation.
Forcier, who came in at No. 164 on the Rivals list of top high school prospects in the country for the class of 2009, has an accurate arm and decent speed, running the 40-yard dash in 4.55 seconds, and fits the mold in Rodriguez’ spread offense.
Michigan does return their top rusher from a year ago, senior Brandon Minor, who gained 533 yards on 103 attempts with nine TDs.
The top three pass-catchers also return, which includes sophomore wideout Martavious Odoms (5-9, 172), who hauled in 49 receptions for 443 yards, and senior WR Greg Mathews (6-3, 209), who caught 35 balls for 409 yards and two touchdowns.
In all, 10 offensive starters return including all five linemen led by two seniors, left tackle Mark Ortmann (6-7, 284) and right guard David Moosman (6-5, 293).
On the other side of the line of scrimmage, just five starters return, though three of the top five tacklers are back from a year ago that includes junior linebacker Obi Ezeh (6-2, 243), junior linebacker Jonas Mouton (6-2, 228), and safety-turned-linebacker Stevie Brown (6-1, 211), as Michigan switches from a 4-3 to a 3-4 defense this season.
Outlook:
Where do I begin? Last season. Michigan ranked dead last in the Big Ten in total offense (290.8 ypg), passing offense (143.2 ypg), scoring offense (20.3 ppg), passing efficiency (95.1) and turnover margin (-.83).
Defensively, the Wolverines were near the bottom of the conference in total defense (9th/366.9 ypg), scoring defense (10th/28.2 ppg), pass defense (9th/230.0 ypg), and passing efficiency defense (10th/131.7).
Personally, I think those numbers will improve, but not by much.
Michigan has an easier schedule this season as they did in 2008, playing two directional Michigan’s (Western and Eastern), as well as taking on Division I-AA (FCS) Delaware State, all at home. Their toughest out-of-conference opponent is Notre Dame, and they get the Fighting Irish at home, too, though I don’t think it matters.
The Wolverines also have Penn State and Ohio State coming to Ann Arbor, but you can chalk those up as defeats as well, and face Michigan State, Iowa, Illinois and Wisconsin all on the road to add to their loss column in the standings.
Overall, I see Michigan finishing the 2009 season with a record of 5-7, failing to get a bowl invite for the second-straight year.












































































